šŸ˜ŗElon to buy OpenAI?!

PLUS: Two new AI models enter the arena...

Welcome, humans.

This just about sums up the results of yesterdayā€™s poll on OpenAIā€™s Super Bowl ad:

*$14M, btw

About ~200 of you said yes, OpenAI had its Apple 1984 moment, and 1200+ said noā€¦ thatā€™s almost as complete a shut out as the Super Bowl itself!

For anyone who actually liked that art style, this is pretty neat: someone made a tool to give your own images the same lookā€”built on ChatGPT, of course (demo).

On that note, check out how wild the progress in AI animation has gotten over the last two years:

Hereā€™s the actual human dancer behind that video, btw.

Hereā€™s what you need to know about AI today:

  • We explain Elonā€™s surprise bid to takeover OpenAI.

  • Anthropic released a study on the economic impact of AI.

  • France pledges $112B and nuclear power for AI.

  • Two new AI, ā€œChocolateā€ and ā€œKiwiā€, are in the LM Arenaā€¦

The day Elon Musk tried to buy OpenAI for just shy of $100Bā€¦

Things over at xAI headquarters must not be going so smoothly training Grok 3, because Elon Musk just submitted a $97.6B bid to purchase his main rival, OpenAI. 

Youā€™d think overhauling the government would be keeping him busy enoughā€¦

Hereā€™s the deets on the deal:

  • xAI (Elonā€™s AI company) and a bunch of investment funds made the offer.

  • The bid is for the non-profit that controls OpenAI.

  • If it happens, xAI could merge with OpenAI.

In case you forgot, OpenAI is still a non-profitā€”but itā€™s trying to become for-profit by end of 2026 (and raise a new round of $40B ASAP).

OpenAIā€™s board now must consider this offer as it attempts to value itselfā€”and Elonā€™s crew is prepared to match or beat any counter offers.

We didnā€™t go to business school, but we watched A LOT of Successionā€¦ is this the dreaded ā€œbear hugā€? Feels like it!

Quick history lessonā€”for those of you who never read The Founders, this move is ripped from the PayPal Mafia playbook:

  • Elonā€™s original X.com company wanted to be the ultimate online bank.

  • It and Peter Thielā€™s PayPal were fighting each other for online payment market share, and they were both losing tons of money.

  • Eventually, instead of going broke fighting a losing battleā€”they merged.

That same exact thing is happening right now, but in AI:

  • We talked about this on Sunday, but AI is facing a price war driven largely by DeepSeekā€”itā€™s why you now get hundreds of free o3-mini queries.

  • After the big models do all the heavy lifting, smaller AI models can pop up and bring the cost of intelligence waaay down.

  • Sam wrote about this yesterday, explaining how the cost of AI has dropped by 10x every 12 months (and 150x from 2023 to 2024, specifically).

What Sam didnā€™t write about is how this price war undercuts the economics of OpenAIā€™s infrastructure investments, which Sam says will require significantly more scale (and matching spend) to train the next level of intelligence.

And for every DeepSeek that pops out and lowers the prices OpenAI can charge, thatā€™s less ROI Sam (and really, Samā€™s investors) can make off all the NVIDIA chips they have to buy.

Thereā€™s one more thing, too: Not to spoil the ending of The Founders, but yā€™know what went down after that PayPal / X.com merger happened? Elon was out as CEOā€”replaced by Thielā€”and now, the same thing could happen to Sam. Call it Elonā€™s ultimate revenge?

Needless to say, Sam wasnā€™t happy with this. So he hit Elon with this clapback heard ā€˜round the world:

That would be about ~8x Twitterā€™s current earnings, btw.

Why this all matters: If Elonā€™s negotiating trolling is successful, the OpenAI board may have no choice but to accept his offer. Which means OpenAI might become xOpenAI.

Thankfully, OpenAI and ChatGPT are far from the only AI game in town. Besides Gemini 2.0, Googleā€™s new AI that tops the LM Arena leaderboard, thereā€™s now two new models (Kiwi and Chocolate) that just appeared in the LM Arenaā€”where AI go head to head to answer prompts and users rate their favorite.

If not Opus or Grok, they could be new OpenAI models (full o3?).

Many on X are speculating these models could be Grok 3 and Grok 3 Miniā€”but when asked, the models keep saying theyā€™re made by Claude. Opus 3.5 anybody??

If you donā€™t know what that means, then watch this.

FROM OUR PARTNERS

Hereā€™s one AI tool we use every week at The Neuron.

A little well-kept secret for companies crushing it with AI is that only a handful of AI tools are actually worth using.

Thatā€™s why weā€”Noah & Grantā€”use ChatGPT and Claude, along with a killer product called Attention:

  1. We tell Attention exactly what to pay attention to in our meeting (goals, budget, etc).

  2. Attention listens to our call.

  3. Attention outputs important insights, action items, and follow-up emails.

There are way, way more features, and itā€™s a must-have for all sales teams. 

If you sell anything, literally drop what youā€™re doing and go book a demo with Attention ASAP.

Prompt Tip of the Day

In this video, Grace Leung shares five key use-cases for AI reasoners (GPT o3 and DeepSeek R1) to think deeper about your marketing data, showing how to:

  • Map user motivations from raw feedback.

  • Predict market shifts from product launches.

  • Spot friction in customer journeys.

  • Decode competitor messaging gaps.

  • Test UX against specific audience needs.

Hereā€™s an example of how she structures her prompts:

"Analyze [specific content] and think deeply about:

What are the primary questions customers might have?

What are the trust signals that might be missing?

Where might users get confused?

What are the deeper motivations behind user behaviors?"

Grace Leung

Treats To Try.

  1. Google made NotebookLM Plus available through Google One AI Premium ($20/month) with 5x more usage limits; fun factā€”NotebookLM apparently got ~28M visits in the last three months alone.

  2. DeepSeek-VL2 helps you understand and analyze images through text conversations, now accessible through a simple online demo (code).

  3. Mistral, the French AI lab behind the Le Chat chatbot, is pretty good and lightning fast (1,000 tokens a second)ā€”check it out vs Claude and OpenAI.

  4. Furypage builds eye-catching 3D portfolio websites where visitors can view your work from any angle.

  5. Reef analyzes your spreadsheets and explains the insights through charts and voice.

  6. Pikadditions seamlessly blends your photos into any video.

  7. Tough Tongue lets you rehearse tough conversations with AI feedback across 30+ languages.

  8. Talo translates your video calls in real-time across 30+ languages so you can speak naturally on Google Meet and MS Teams (demo).

Around the Horn.

  • Anthropic analyzed millions of Claude convos to understand AI's impact on labor markets (paper) and found AI usage was highest in software development and technical writing, with 36% of occupations using AI for at least ~25% of their tasksā€”expect a deeper dive later this week!

  • France will invest $112B and one gigawatt of nuclear power to help train more European AI to try and make up lost ground.

  • Perplexity released a Super Bowl ā€œtweetā€ and grew its daily downloads by 50% (45K vs the typical 30K).

FROM OUR PARTNERS

Want to build better AI agents?

Galileo just dropped a massive (100-page!) guide all about agents.

Whether you're just starting out or already knee-deep in agent architecture, this guide will help you build more reliable agents that actually do what they're supposed to do (imagine that!)

Tuesday Ticker

Here are the results from last weekā€™s polls:

All 3 polls went this way.

  • S.H chose Gemini: ā€œIn order to get actual data on fuel efficiency etc., it would have been necessary to ask supplementary questions. Nevertheless, the answer was more succinct, actually did give "best model" suggestions, rather than an overwhelming and tedious mass of information.ā€

  • C.N chose ChatGPT: ā€œDeep Research seemed to juggle a lot more factors and math out averages, etc. It feels like a stronger answer and was a more pleasant/informative read.ā€

  • A.C. chose ChatGPT, butā€¦ ā€œI don't have a favorite. I like the tables that Gemini provided. We as humans still need to be in the "driver's seat" on decision making if we outsource our critical and decision making then we might as well not even buy a car but sit on our couch all day on our phones!ā€

A Cat's Commentary.

Thatā€™s all for today, for more AI treats, check out our website.

The best way to support us is by checking out our sponsorsā€”todayā€™s are Attention and Galileo.

See you cool cats on Twitter: @noahedelman02

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